2. The breach with Rayner was serious, and would continue to be for the rest of the year, but she was no threat to Starmers position as leader. Collapse. But a third of those 2019 Labour voters now want Sir Keir to resign as party leader after mixed results in last week's elections - including a previously unthinkable by-election defeat in the traditionally safe seat of Hartlepool. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers in Europe. 10. This, to me, points to a considerable reservoir of voter discontent with the available options on left and right.. LONDON (Reuters) -Keir Starmer, the leader of Britain's opposition Labour Party, has picked as his new chief of staff Sue Gray, a government official whose investigation helped catalyse the exit . However, while Labour has an overwhelming lead on every major poll as a party, the popularity battle between Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer is far tighter. Cubus Follow. It includes a job ad for a celebrities and endorsement manager.. Too soon for that. "Any opposition would be struggling against a government riding the success of the vaccine rollout and the last time the government's approval figures for the pandemic were this positive the Conservatives held a 17 point lead. It was, mathematically, the result of the government and prime minister enjoying a vaccine boost in popularity, but it prompted bitter Corbynites to remind Blairites how they had predicted that under any other leader Labour would be 20 points ahead. Labour is up 5-points on last week, perhaps suggesting a bounce after the autumn statement, although it is too early to know. SIR Keir Starmer has seen his ranking plunge in the polls after a terrible fortnight of bungles. Public Sector. But the signs are that there will be little enthusiasm for a Labour Party led by him as a replacement. But worse, in colluding with the narrative of the Tories and establishment media, he has made a dirty word of socialism of any kind. Keir Starmer faced a grilling from students during a visit to St. Columb's College on Friday. Voters, it seems, finally agree. Indeed, Labours biggest backer, the union Unite, has reduced its contributions to the party in retaliation for Starmers efforts to shift away from the socialist policies of Corbyn. Truss is hampered by being deeply uncharismatic - possibly even more so than Starmer, and in stark contrast to her immediate predecessor, Boris Johnson. And in refusing to countenance any dissent from within Labour, or entertain any meaningful pluralism in its ranks - starkly illustrated by his approaches both to support for Nato and the monarchy - he has echoed not only the rights agenda but its authoritarian instinctstoo. 3 minutes read. Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in, The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leaders favour vindicating his strategic patience, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Voiced by artificial intelligence. A poll by YouGov last week revealed 51% of voters say they would vote for Labour in a general election, with just 23% of people saying they would vote Tory. The vaccine effect wore off, and the stories of parties in Downing Street last year blew up a bomb marked double standards which had been sitting unexploded for some time under the weakening structure. His website and blog can be found at www.jonathan-cook.net. Latest UK Opinion Polls: Government approval recent changes. Keir Starmer is delighted she is hoping to join our preparations for government and our mission," the spokesperson said. Johnsons poor approval ratings have improved slightly at -27, compared with -30 two weeks ago. While their lead of 9% in the Blue Wall represents a slight one-point narrowing in comparison to the end of last month, the partys lead over the Conservatives has altogether grown during February by two points in the Red Wall and by six points nationally. Starmer has experience that Blair didn't. But that was before the UK's tremendously successful COVID-19 vaccination programme got under way in December, something that seems to have been among the reasons for Mr Johnson's popularity. Millionaires clearly want different policy priorities, but it matters to public opinion who is influencing the people who are supposed to be working in our interests?. The get together was reeling from its worst efficiency on the poll field since 1935, riven by inner divisions, below hearth over its report of tackling antisemitism and going through an seemingly unassailable Boris Johnson atop an 80-seat majority. August 20, 2022 7:00 am (Updated August 21, 2022 9:35 am) Labour holds a 10-point lead over the Conservatives as Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak attack each other in public - but Sir Keir Starmer's . One member of Labours National Executive Committee (NEC), the partys ruling body, said Alli is a high net worth individual himself which will make quite a difference when he needs to tap people up to say Im giving money, you need to as well.'. Leadership approval ratings Rishi . An improved UK-EU relationship that could eventually ease Britains trading problems is more distant still. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt leaves 11 Downing Street, LondonJames Manning. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Boris Johnson, leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 24 July 2019 to 6 September 2022. In addition to leading a party with a commanding position in our voting intention polls, Starmer himself holds healthy approval ratings in all our tracker polls. The hire of Alli as chair of campaign financing was a particularly adroit decision, according to several MPs and party officials. Even in the lowest months of the summer, there was no serious talk of a leadership challenge. The Leader of the Opposition leads by ten points or more on being in touch with ordinary people (39% to 20%), they understand the problems facing Britain (50% to 37%), they are an . Its much less normalized compared to the U.S. and there are much bigger negatives to it in the U.K. aside from the pragmatic arguments. Such criteria would presumably be based on an assessment of public opinion in Scotland over a sustained period: a consistent, long-running lead for independence in opinion polls, say, or in election results (measured, as the SNP have recently suggested, in terms of a vote share of over 50 per cent for independence-supporting parties). 'Free speech is the only thing the new woke religion - will not - a Sherlock actor labelled transphobic for saying parents taking child UK drivers due 'huge pump price cut' in just days as warning issued King Charles refused to forgive Prince Harry's 'ultimate act of disrespect'. Gray, who has decades of government experience, came into the national spotlight last year for her damning investigation into the partygate scandal, a series of law-breaking . But he has gone further, accepting neoliberal orthodoxy that concessions to workers hinder business and damage economic activity. But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. Middle East Eye. Starmer has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. Labours new HQ in Southwark is described by party officials as a serious upgrade, with the NEC member quoted earlier calling it a proper campaign HQ, like it was in 1997., The party has also been on a hiring spree in recent months, advertising for dozens of new positions across the country. Copyright 2014 - 2023. At a time of major problems in the NHSfrom backlogged waiting lists, to strikes by ambulance drivers, nurses and junior doctorsdominating many voters thoughts, voters in the Blue Wall (30%), the Red Wall (36%), and the country at large (44%) all notably select the NHS/Healthcare as the issue they most trust his party to deliver on. But other Starmer allies dismissed the findings, claiming it was difficult to draw . At various dates in the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. When Sir Keir Starmer turned Labour chief in 2020, few ever believed he would develop into prime minister. More broadly, this will be central to boosting the nations productivity going forward. By logging in, you confirm acceptance of ourPOLITICO Privacy Policy. Close Blair ally and media entrepreneur Waheed Alli has been appointed by Starmer as the partys head of election fundraising. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Jeremy Corbyn, the former leader of the Labour Party until 4 April 2020. Alli, reportedly worth upward of 100 million, is plugged into to Londons arts, media and business sets. In the aftermath of the Autumn Budget, I imagine these numbers will be a relief to Starmer and his team. A senior Labour source said: We know what needs to be done between now and the next election and are ticking everything off on the list. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Liz Truss, leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 6 September 2022 and until 25 October 2022. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Labour leader Keir Starmer addresses the annual Labour Party conference in Brighton, England, on 9 September 2021 (AFP) Keir Starmer's wait-it-out approach may finally be . BMG are members of the British Polling Council and abide by their rules. Collapse. This represents a five-point jump for Labour when compared to polling carried out by the channel last week, and no movement at all for the Conservatives, who remain on 21% of the vote. As people increasingly see through Johnsons bluster and feel the impact of his lack of decisions, weve created space to show that Keir is the serious politician needed for post-pandemic Britain., To keep up to speed with all the latest opinions and comment sign up to our free weekly Voices newsletter by clicking here. One Labour MP described Alli as absolutely lovely and very persuasive. Referring to his status as one of the worlds only openly gay Muslim politicians, they added: You should never underestimate someone from his background who has fought that hard for LGBT rights.. A poll released on the Monday of conference put Labour 17 points . Starmer is said to have become increasingly comfortable in these settings over the past 12 months as his status as prime minister-in-waiting Labour is consistently polling 20 points ahead of the Tories is further entrenched. But theres no sense of what the wider project is.. His party trails Labour by more than 20 points in the polls. . In practice, however, that appears to mean prioritising the supposed needs of the City and major corporations while paying only lip service to the struggle of ordinary people. It was a key insight to recognise that the DUP had overreached itself at the expense of the UKs wider economic and political interests, and was therefore in a weaker position than many assumed. It was the last bit that was telling, implying that there was no one around him who was prepared to bring him bad news honest feedback being a basic requirement of any functioning organisation, as Starmer would have known from running the Crown Prosecution Service. In some ways, the content of the protocol deal was the relatively straightforward bit. Some 75% approve of the government's handling of the vaccine rollout. Combined with his purges of the Labour left, including Corbyn, using antisemitism as the pretext, Starmer has hollowed out left-wing politics in the UK of any substance. Different polling companies report widely differing figures on this question, but even Savanta ComRes, long the least favourable to Starmer, now has him two points ahead of Johnson when people are asked: Which of the following do you think would make the best prime minister? Starmer on 33 per cent and Johnson on 31 per cent are both eclipsed by dont know on 36 per cent, but politics is a game of relative advantage. Labour holds a 10-point lead over the Conservatives as Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak attack each other in public but Sir Keir Starmers personal ratings have gone backwards. Boris Johnson's opinion poll lead over Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer as the "best prime minister" for the UK evaporated on Monday, as Downing Street tried to stop the fuel crisis descending . The party was clearly in the middle of a dramatic transformation. 27 per cent of people are satisfied with how he is performing in his job while 34 per cent are dissatisfied, for a net approval rating of -6 (accounting for rounding). Hes a lawyer hes learning his brief.. Labour MPs and party officials say the fundraising operation is far more professionalized than at any other point during Labours last 13 years in the wilderness. Rishi Sunak branded Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer 'Mr 2nd Referendum' as he told the 1922 Committee of backbench Tories that the public are sick of Brexit 'drama'. He was given a peerage by Blair in 1998 and acted as an unofficial adviser to the former PM through his 10-year reign. 2021 Associated Newspapers Limited. Businesses arent altruists giving us all this money means that they will tend to want more movement towards the interests of business., Mandelson, meanwhile, told POLITICO Labour needs many more individual donors to compensate for the sums currently being withheld by hard-left controlled unions.. Left-wing party members who joined during Corbyns tenure have been fleeing in droves, depriving Labour of desperately needed income to fight the next general election. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his "strategic patience", according to an ally, when . The Windsor Framework "gives enough" to end the Stormont stalemate, Sir Keir Starmer believes. Jeremy Corbyn approval rating . For similar reasons, the Enough is Enough movement has recently emerged, demanding pay rises for workers and higher taxes for the rich. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to "mold" Labour's election plans and get its "fingerprints" on his policy agenda. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. Time. The Opinium figures, which will raise further concerns within Labour over the party leader's performance, shows that the prime minister has a two-point lead over his opponent. . After three years of near-destitution brought on by COVID-19, falling membership numbers and reduced union funding the party is now beginning to look cashed-up. Sunak has had luck along the way. Even as Labour drew level in voting intention polls in November, Starmer limped behind Johnson in the preferred prime minister polling. Around the middle of the year, however, the tide started to turn. ', asks Mark Dolan. Sir Keir's office declined to comment, saying it did not offer 'running commentaries' on opinion polls. "Labour's poor position today is the result of factors both out of their control and things they should be deeply concerned with.". Like the Tories, Starmer sees the economy in terms of a battle between the incompatible demands of employers - the state and big business - on one side, and workers on the other. When Starmer was running for leader, many of his supporters expressed how important it was that he looked like a prime-minister-in . The choreography of the protocol deal was also bold. It also enjoys some electoral advantages over Labour. Starmers Labour increasingly looks like a pale replica of the modern Conservative Party, which publicly extols the virtues of unfettered markets while privately skewing the economic battle-space in big businesss favour - a covert socialism, but for the rich only. In an interview with the New Statesman last month, Tarry offered a damning assessment of the Labour leader, accusing him of tearing the party apart to erase any trace of Corbynism, despite his predecessor taking the party in 2017 to within an inch of an election victory. Through his public positioning, he has legitimised the rights discourse that left-wing politics is inherently subversive, unpatriotic and treasonous. The poll, based on the responses of 2,004 adults in the UK, also showed: Sir Keir Starmer slumps 17 points behind PM in new poll - and a third of Labour voters want him to quit, Sir Keir Starmer is lagging well behind Boris Johnson in a new opinion poll, Starmer 'up to it' as Labour leader - Miliband, Starmer 'trying to move party forward' - Brown, 'Labour Party has to do some soul searching', 33% of Labour voters want Sir Keir to resign as party leader, Two-thirds think Labour did badly in the local elections earlier this month but just 31% blame Sir Keir, 57% said Sir Keir has been a better party leader than his predecessor Mr Corbyn, The top choice for Sir Keir's replacement as Labour Party leader was Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, with approval from 47% and disapproval from 19%, The Conservatives are up two points to 44%, whilst Labour has dropped six points to 31%. What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. But dont underestimate this prime minister, either. On the proposal to reduce the threshold at which people pay the highest rate of tax from 150,000 to 125,140, the poll found that 50% of adults support this measure while 13% are opposed. In GB as a whole, the Governments net approval rating for its handling of these three issues now sits at -35% (down four points from late January), -49% (-7), and -39% (-3) respectively. Starmer may scrape a win at the next general election, against an internally divided Conservative governing party only too obviously divorced from the concerns of much of the electorate. Nevertheless, this week highlighted some early if incomplete signs that Sunak is starting to change the Tory party. As popular anger mounts, Starmers lack of vision for a sustainable future risks plunging parliamentary politics into even deeper crisis. In my dealings with Gray when I was political secretary, I found her . The ex-PM said during his think tanks Future of Britain conference last year that he wants to help influence the policy agenda in Westminster over the next decade. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll. But Levys comeback is not free of controversy. Blair and some of his allies were caricatured as never being happier than when rubbing shoulders with Britains rich and powerful. While those on the Corbynite left consider the cash drive morally suspect, the right of the party asserts its the sign of a leader prepared for power. The National Anthem will be sung at the start of the Labour Party conference next weekend, for the first time in recent memory (h/t @BBCBenWright), Saying Im not ideological, Starmer told BBC Breakfast over the summer: Weve reversed those 2019 manifesto positions because we needed to show the country that were credible, were responsible on the economy.. Although his net approval fell to -22% nationally on 18 February, his lowest ever, he ends the month having gained a marginal point from his January rating in both the Red Wall and in Great Britain (up to -17% in both). Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while.. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Nigel Farage, leader of the Reform UK, formerly named Brexit Party, until 6 March 2021. The non-Corbynite majority of Labour MPs didnt have an alternative candidate either; hence their mood of gloom and fatalism. The job of being Leader of the Opposition is, famously, the most thankless available in British politics. Starmer turned in some more relaxed performances at Prime Ministers Questions, starting to look more confident and suggesting that he had finally got the measure of Johnson. Leader of the British Labour Party, Keir Starmer, says that if nothing changes, Great Britain's GDP per capita would be lower than that of Poland in 7 years, and that of Hungary and Romania in 17 years. Only 17% say a Conservative government with Rishi Sunak as prime minister. Starmers office had not responded before publication of this article to a request for comment from Middle East Eye. . Why wont anyone tell me anything?. But he has made his own luck too. If you had said the morning after the 2019 election Labour could be back in one term, people would have laughed at you. February was another good month of polling for the Labour Party and Keir Starmer, who ended January holding a 21% lead over the Conservatives. Keir Starmer. This week, though, has provided a reminder of two important things that deserve to be noted by political observers. Neither Labour or the Cabinet Office denied a report by Sky News' that the Labour leader who current polls suggest could .
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